Tag Archives: Canadian economy

TSX On a Tear, Up 12% Since November. But Is It Justified?

Between January 1 and October 31, 2023, the TSX lost 3.3% of its value. But from November 1, 2023 to January 31, 2024, the TSX has rallied an impressive 12.2%. And the long-term outlook for the TSX remains bullish. But investors may be getting ahead of themselves. Why Is the TSX Doing So Well? On […]

Bank of Canada Done With Rate Hikes, But When Is First Interest Rate Cut Coming?

The Bank of Canada held its key lending interest rate at 5% for the fourth consecutive meeting. Of particular note, the central bank said, for the first time, that it won’t raise interest rates again if the economy moves in line with forecasts. “If the economy evolves broadly in line with the projection we published […]

Canada 2024: A Technical Recession, Rate Cuts, and the TSX

A lot can change in a year. In January 2023, Canada’s inflation rate stood at 5.9%, the Bank of Canada increased its overnight lending rate to 4.25%, and the TSX closed out 2022 down 1.25%. Fast forward to January 2024, and the inflation rate is down, but still too high at 3.1%, the overnight lending […]

Canadian Dollar Down 4.8% Since July on Weaker Oil and Soft Economic Data

The Canadian dollar has reversed the gains it made against the U.S. dollar in the first half of the year. The Canadian dollar performed well in the opening quarters of 2023, climbing 3.6% against the U.S. dollar. The loonie was actually the best performing major G-10 currency in June after rising 2.4%. That momentum carried […]

Additional Interest Rate Hikes Still on the Table But Canada Is Not Headed for a Recession

Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said that the central bank’s aggressive interest rate policy is working at bringing down inflation. After raising its key lending rate 10 times since the start of 2022, from 0.25% to 5.0%, Canada’s inflation rate has retraced from a 39-year high of 8.1% in June 2022 to 4.0% today. […]

Is Canada Still Heading for a Recession?

Economists have been predicting a recession in Canada and the U.S. for months now. Despite decades-high inflation and an unprecedented interest rate hike policy, a recession has yet to materialize. If anything, the Canadian economy has proven to been more resilient than many expected. But cracks are beginning to appear. Economic growth is slowing, jobs […]

Does Weaker Canadian Economic Data Point to a Pause in Interest Rate Hikes?

The Bank of Canada has been aggressively raising interest rates to cool the economy and stave off a recession. Since March 2022, it has increased its key lending rate 10 times, from 0.25% in March 2022 to a 22-year high of 5.00% in July 2022. It looks like the interest rate hikes are working, and […]